Methodology · Sweden
Sweden polling average methodology
Follows the global methodology, with the deltas below. Source spec: MKT-SE v1.2 (locked).
What this is
A weighted polling average of Swedish Riksdag voting intention across the eight parliamentary parties. It is an estimate of current opinion, not a prediction.
How it differs from the global standard
- •Eight Riksdag parties: the average tracks all eight parliamentary parties, each with its own recency, sample and reliability weighting per the global standard.
- •Multi-gate validation: Swedish polls pass through a sequence of validation gates (source, dedupe, sample and total-share sanity, party-set completeness, and others) before entering the model, with thresholds tuned to the Swedish polling field.
- •Bloc context: party figures can be read against the left/right bloc split that governs Swedish government formation.
How to read it
It reflects the published Swedish polls; it does not apply ad-hoc corrections. Current figures are on the live Sweden tracker.