Sweden · Riksdag election, 13 September 2026
Social Democrats won the most votes, with 28.0%.
The Social Democrats, Left, Centre and Green parties together won 176 of the 349 seats; the Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Christian Democrats and Liberals won 173. Turnout was 84.9%. Final result, certified by the Swedish Election Authority on 19 September 2026.
Final result
Source: Valmyndigheten/How this is made
The result, and our final average
Our average as published on polling day, 13 September, against the certified result.
| Party | Result | Seats | Our average | Difference | Inside our range? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social Democrats | 28.0% | 99 | 28.3% | +0.3 | Yes |
| Moderates | 19.9% | 70 | 17.2% | −2.7 | No |
| Sweden Democrats | 17.5% | 62 | 18.9% | +1.4 | Yes |
| Left Party | 8.4% | 30 | 7.9% | −0.5 | Yes |
| Centre Party | 7.0% | 25 | 7.6% | +0.6 | Yes |
| Christian Democrats | 6.2% | 22 | 6.7% | +0.5 | Yes |
| Green Party | 6.1% | 22 | 7.3% | +1.2 | Yes |
| Liberals | 5.3% | 19 | 4.0% | −1.3 | Yes |
Our final average was, on average, 1.1 points from each party's result. The result fell inside our range for 7 of the 8 parties. The largest miss was the Moderates: we had them on 17.2%; they won 19.9%, outside our range.
Our final polling average
13 September 2026, from 20 polls. Each band is our 90% range.