Fred CornellIndependent polling averages

United Kingdom  ·  Reform UK polls

Reform UK are on 23.1%.

That is 3.4 points behind Labour and down 0.6 points on a month ago, in the average of 8 October 2026. A year ago Reform UK were on 30.8%.

Updated 8 Oct 2026/2,103 polls/How this is made

The field, through time

One party, four dates, one scale. Each band is the range the evidence allowed on that day.

Will Reform UK win the next general election?

This page measures voting intention today. It does not forecast the election. Under first past the post, a party's share of the vote does not translate directly into seats. The next general election must be held by 15 August 2029.