United States · 2028 presidential primary polls
JD Vance and Kamala Harris lead the 2028 primary polls.
JD Vance has 44.1% among Republicans and Kamala Harris 31.7% among Democrats. Polling averages for both nominations, shown beside prediction-market prices. The two measures are never combined, and this page makes no forecast. Updated 7 October 2026.
As of 7 Oct 2026/How this is made
| Candidate | Polling average | Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 31.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | |
| Gavin Newsom | 17.4% | 17.7% | 14.3% | |
| Pete Buttigieg | 12.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 10.9% | 18.6% | 14.3% | |
| Jon Ossoff | 7.9% | 15.5% | 17.5% | |
| Mark Kelly | 7.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | |
| Josh Shapiro | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | |
| Andy Beshear | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% |
| Candidate | Polling average | Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 44.1% | 58.7% | 48.6% | |
| Marco Rubio | 20.6% | 18.5% | 18.4% | |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 14.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | |
| Ron DeSantis | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 5.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| Nikki Haley | 4.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| Ted Cruz | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% |