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Methodology · US Approval

US presidential approval methodology

Follows the global methodology, with the deltas below. Source spec: MKT-USA v1.1 (locked) + source-architecture v1.6 (locked).

What this is

A daily tracker of US presidential approval and disapproval. It estimates where approval currently stands from published polls; it is not a prediction.

How it differs from the global standard

  • Approval, not vote intention: the figures are approve / disapprove of the president, not party vote share.
  • Field-cluster benchmark: the estimate is judged against the full field of major aggregators rather than any single one. The field average and median are the trust benchmark — no one aggregator is treated as ground truth.
  • Tiered sourcing: sources are organised into reliability tiers, with documented eligibility and a defined fallback path, so the tracker stays current even if one source breaks.

How to read it

It reflects the polls and the chosen field of sources; it does not second-guess them. Current figures are on the live approval tracker.

Global methodology · Approval tracker